The early voting numbers in these key states just confirmed Democrats’ worst fears
Democrats are starting to get nervous.
The media’s prediction of a “blue wave” is starting to look like more fake news.
And these early voting numbers confirmed Democrats worst fears.
Early voting tallies from key states with tossup senate races are rolling in.
Registered Republicans have voted in higher numbers than Democrats in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, Tennessee, and Texas.
NBC News reports:
Republican-affiliated voters have outpaced Democratic-affiliated voters in early voting in seven closely watched states, according to data provided by TargetSmart and independently analyzed by the NBC News Data Analytics Lab.
GOP-affiliated voters have surpassed Democratic-affiliated ones in early voting in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, Tennessee and Texas, the data showed.
Only in Nevada have Democratic-affiliated voters exceeded Republican-affiliated voters so far in early voting, according to the data.
Key Senate races are underway in seven of those eight states and will prove pivotal in determining which party controls the chamber.
The latest data suggests robust enthusiasm among early Republican voters that could put a dent in Democratic hopes for a “blue wave” in next month’s midterm elections.
Early voting numbers are far from final.
But they are an indication that Republican voters have made up the so-called “enthusiasm gap” that many in the media were reporting.
Further, Rush Limbaugh pointed out on his show that at this point in 2016, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight gave Hillary Clinton and 86% chance to win the White House.
Two weeks out from Midterm Election Day he is also giving Democrats an 86% chance to take control of the House.
Meanwhile, according to John Stossel’s site, electionbettingodds.com, Democrats’ chances of winning the House are dropping like a rock.
They’ve dropped roughly 10% over the past three weeks and now sit at around 61%.
But it will all come down to turnout on Election Day.