New swing state polling data had Donald Trump smiling from ear to ear
The 2024 Election will come down to seven battleground states.
Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are scratching and clawing for whatever edge they can find.
And new swing state polling data had Donald Trump smiling from ear to ear.
Trump’s internal campaign polls show him leading in all seven battlegrounds
The talk of internal polls is dominating the discussion in the 2024 Election.
Democrat Senate candidates in Wisconsin and Michigan leaked that Vice President Kamala Harris trails in their states.
Journalist Mark Halperin reported that both Democrat and Republican polling shows she’s in “trouble.”
Public polling began to catch up to the private date.
Emerson’s swing state polls showed former President Donald Trump up in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania while tying Kamala in Wisconsin and Michigan.
Quinnipiac found Trump ahead of her in Michigan and Wisconsin.
The Trump campaign threw gasoline on the fire by releasing their internal polls showing him leading in all seven battlegrounds.
Swing states poll: @realDonaldTrump (R) internal by Fabrizio/McLaughlin
Georgia – 🔴 Trump 50-45%
Arizona – 🔴 Trump 49-46%
Nevada – 🔴 Trump 50-47%
Pennsylvania – 🔴 Trump 49-48%
Wisconsin – 🔴 Trump 49-48%
Michigan – 🔴 Trump 49-48%
North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 48-47%October… pic.twitter.com/4uhTIT5RzL
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 10, 2024
Pollsters Tony Fabrizio and John McLaughlin released a memo saying Trump is at or near the 50 percent mark in every swing state.
“As you can clearly see, President Trump holds an edge in all 7 Battlegrounds including all the ‘Blue Wall States.’ This data projected out would put President Trump at 312 Electoral votes. As importantly, President Trump is at or on the precipice of 50% in virtually all of these states,” the polling memo read.
Fabrizio and McLaughlin pointed to the inflation data showing prices rising above expectations at 2.4% year-over-year and jobless claims reaching their highest total since August 2023 as evidence Kamala’s inflation crisis would continue to anchor down her poll numbers for the rest of the campaign.
The pollsters predicted that Donald Trump’s polling lead would grow as Election Day approached.
“Given today’s high inflation data and Kamala Harris’ admission that she would not have changed or done anything different than Joe Biden, we expect that President Trump’s edge will only continue to solidify,” the memo concluded.
Democrats can’t produce a counter-narrative
If Democrats had polling data to counter the numbers put out by the Trump campaign, they would.
Instead, the media story is that Democrats are seeing their numbers erode.
The pro-Kamala Axios reported that “Top Democratic politicians and operatives tell us the vital states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania are getting tougher for Vice President Harris and the party’s Senate candidates.”
Axios tried to cushion the blow but there was no way to spin the bad news that Kamala’s numbers aren’t moving despite North Korean state media-like coverage from the press, big fundraising numbers, and outspending Trump on television ads.
“There’s growing worry among Democrats that Harris seems stuck, even sliding a bit, after a strong start to her young presidential campaign. Her media blitz, heavy spending and largely favorable coverage don’t seem to be moving the needle much, if at all, these Democrats say,” Axios also reported.
