Kamala Harris’ jaw hit the floor when she saw this shocking poll
Kamala Harris’ honeymoon period is ending quicker than anyone expected.
Democrats never expected this to happen so soon.
And Kamala Harris’ jaw hit the floor when she saw this shocking poll.
New poll shows Donald Trump taking the lead in Pennsylvania
There is no path to 270 Electoral College votes for Vice President Kamala Harris without the commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
The math just doesn’t exist.
Some polls earlier in August showed Kamala up by as much as three points in Pennsylvania.
Democrats looked at those numbers and began measuring the drapes at the White House.
But Kamala and her team may have been getting ready to celebrate too soon.
A new Emerson poll of Pennsylvania found former President Donald Trump leading her 49 to 48 percent.
New PENNSYLVANIA poll by Emerson College with @RealClearPA
🟥 Trump: 49%
🟦 Harris: 48%With leans
🟥 Trump: 51%
🟦 Harris: 49%#9 (2.9/3.0) | 8/13-14 | 1,000 LV | ±3%https://t.co/jfvxAeiTwL pic.twitter.com/sQfZ4Ki0Df
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 16, 2024
This was major because Emerson has been the most accurate pollster in America dating back to the 2020 Election.
“Again, Emerson has been the most accurate mainstream pollster over the last few cycles, and it hasn’t been close. Trump wins the presidency if this is true,” the Blaze radio host Steve Deace wrote on social media.
Another AARP poll out of Michigan showing Trump leading her by two points in that critical battleground found her bounce subsiding as the Trump campaign’s commercials exposed the real Kamala Harris.
The Donald Trump campaign is up on TV in battleground states with this spot hitting Kamala Harris on illegal immigration/her record as DA — pic.twitter.com/KgOoGxEkP9
— Medium Buying (@MediumBuying) August 12, 2024
National polls also swing to Trump
The national polls also showed the Kamala bounce fading.
An RMG Research Group survey found a seven-point swing to Trump over the span of two weeks.
He now leads Kamala in this survey.
🇺🇲 2024 GE: @RMG_Research
🟥 Trump: 46%
[+/- change vs 8/5-7] —
🟦 Harris: 45%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟪 Other: 1%
—
With leans
🟥 Trump: 49% [=] 🟦 Harris: 47% [-2] 🟨 RFK Jr: 2%
🟪 Other: 1%
#60 | 2,708 LV | August 12-14 | ±1.9%https://t.co/JqXEzvBgDU pic.twitter.com/2X6iWrHUBR— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 16, 2024
Election forecaster Nate Silver also picked up the poll movement in his model.
“Today’s update. 2nd straight mediocre polling day for Harris. In the range where it could be noise, but her lead in our national polling average has been trimmed to 2.4 points from 3.1,” Silver posted on social media.
The Democrat National Convention is this week.
Candidates normally get a bounce out of their convention.
But Kamala already got a bounce upon entering the race.
And this could be where the race settles in.