Donald Trump was hit with one big surprise about his 2020 fate that left him speechless
Everyone in Washington, D.C. is trying to figure out if Donald Trump will win re-election in 2020.
That question hovers over the current impeachment fight.
And now Donald Trump was hit with one big surprise about his 2020 fate that left him speechless.
Moody’s Analytics is one of the leading economic forecasters in the world.
They also put out election predictions-based economic conditions.
And going back to 1980, their Presidential election forecasts have only missed one winner.
Moody’s just released their 2020 election predictions based on their various economic models and every single one points to a Donald Trump victory.
Importantly, Moody’s models all predict Trump wins even if the economy dips to multiyear lows by the end of 2020 and the stock market crashes 9 percent. In other words, Trump is expected to win despite a falling stock market and a sagging economy.
Moody’s “pocketbook” model looks at three variables: gasoline prices, home prices, and changes in real personal income. Voters tend to see higher gasoline prices as negative, higher home prices, and incomes as positive. Moody’s uses its economic models to predict how these variables will perform in the months leading up to the election.
“Under the baseline economic forecasts, the pocketbook model projects the most favorable outcome for Trump. If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition, taking home 351 electoral votes to the Democrats’ 187, assuming average voter turnout,” Moody’s explains.
Trump does worse under Moody’s “stock market” model, in large part because of the firm’s prediction that the S&P 500 will decline 9 percent between now and election day. Still Trump wins in this model with 289 electoral college votes.
Democrats and the Fake News Media are underestimating Donald Trump’s political standing heading into 2020.
The economy is always the voters’ number one issue.
And the leading economic and political forecaster in America predicts all signs point to a Trump victory in 2020.